About 52% of Bulgarians determined to vote in upcoming elections: poll16 October 2011 | 19:48 | Centre for Analyses and Marketing/FOCUS News Agency
According to the results 22.6% will vote, but they have not yet decided for whom. 11.9% hesitate whether to go to the polls at all, while 12.5% say they will not vote. 1.3% of respondents did not answer the question.
Yuliy Pavlov with the Centre for Analyses and Marketing predicts a voter turnout of 55%-60%.
European Commissioner for Intentional Cooperation, Humanitarian Aid and Crisis Response Kristalina Georgieva is still the most popular politician in Bulgaria. The second place is occupied by both Prime Minister Boyko Borisov and Rosen Plevneliev, former regional development minister and presidential candidate of Borisov’s party Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria.
They are followed by Interior Minister Tsvetan Tsvetanov, Yordanka Fandakova, who runs for a second term as Sofia mayor, Stefan Danailov, Bulgarian socialists’ vice-presidential nominee, and Meglena Kuneva, an independent candidate for president.
The parliament has negative rating – 21.7% of respondents trust it, whereas 71.1% do not.
Bulgarian Orthodox Church has positive rating of 3%, while the army and police enjoy approval rating of around 40%.
35.6% of respondents have confidence in the government, 33.8% – in the president, 32% – in local authorities, 20.4% – in courts, and 19.4% – in prosecutor’s office.
20.2% of Bulgarian voters expect fair and democratic elections.
48.3% of respondents think irregularities are likely in some regions, but do not believe they will change election results.
According to 20.8% of respondents there will be gross irregularities in the elections and final results will be twisted, while 10.7% did not answer the question.
Most respondents, 85.9%, are not worried they might be mistreated over their political attitudes.
33.8% are concerned by the recent clashes in the southern village of Katunitsa and 10.5% say they have no worries. 35.4% describe the conflict in the village as civil dissatisfaction with the local Roma leader Kiril Rashkov’s actions and say there is no ethnic conflict. 43% believe dissatisfaction grew into an ethnic conflict and according to 15.1% the clash is ethnic – between Roma and Bulgarians.
60.6% believe the government has enough resources to guarantee the country’s peace, whereas 28.1% doubt it can.
82.4% of respondents would not vote in exchange for money, 5.2% say they would vote if offered at least BGN 500, and 1.6% would agree if offered at least BGN 50.
33.8% of Bulgarian voters would vote for the presidential ticket of the governing party Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria Rosen Plevneliev–Margarita Popova in the upcoming elections on October 23.
17.9% of respondents would vote for the socialist presidential and vice-presidential candidates Ivaylo Kalfin and Stefan Danailov and 9.7% would support independent candidates Meglena Kuneva and Lyubomir Hristov.
Ataka presidential ticket Volen Siderov–Pavel Shopov would gather 3% support. 2.5% of respondents would vote for the candidates of rightist Blue Coalition, 1.4% – for the nominees of VMRO-BND, and 0.5% – for the candidates of Order, Law and Justice.
The other presidential tickets collect less than 1% each.
If Rosen Plevneliev and Ivaylo Kalfin face each other in the runoff race, 44% of voters would prefer the former and 20% – the latter. 20.7% would not vote.
If the runoff vote is between Rosen Plevneliev and Meglena Kuneva, 41.8% would vote for the ruling party’s contender, while the independent candidate would gather 20.2%. Those who would not go to the polls are 21.2%.
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